MacProbe Value

14" M1 Pro 16GB/1TB (2021)

Fair value $804 · great deal under $731

Best deal right now Fair Value
$750 $54 under fair value
refurbished · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (95%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 14-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro 14-inch M5 by Apple User · Fab Standard License · modified by MacProbe (scale, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$750
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
Not checked yet
Apple list
$2,199
Typical sale
$804
Sells in
~10 days
Sold, 30d
29
Great Deal
$731
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$804
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$827
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$850
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 14" M1 Pro 16GB/1TB (2021)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $731

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 14" M1 Pro 16GB/1TB (2021) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$759 median expected asking price in 7 days · $705–823

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: medium.

Market evidence

30-day sold
29
Avg sold $804 · 10 days listed
Active supply
5
Floor $750 · avg ask $810
Used range
$731-827
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$804-850
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.