MacProbe Value

14" M1 Pro 16GB/512GB (2021)

Fair value $694 · great deal under $655

Best deal right now Great Deal
$649 $45 under fair value
used · seller 100% of 3,061 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 10 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 14-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro 14-inch M5 by Apple User · Fab Standard License · modified by MacProbe (scale, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$730
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Above market range — this offer is not a recommended buying price. Availability may have changed.
New, street
None found
checked 13d ago
Apple list
$1,999
Typical sale
$694
Sells in
~9 days
Sold, 30d
49
Great Deal
$655
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$694
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$708
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$722
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 14" M1 Pro 16GB/512GB (2021)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $655

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 14" M1 Pro 16GB/512GB (2021) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$760 median expected asking price in 7 days · $693–796

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 16 wk · latest n=17

$0.6k$0.6k$0.7k$0.7k$0.8k Jul 13Aug 3Aug 24Sep 14Oct 5Oct 26

Mostly eBay (100% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
49
Avg sold $694 · 9 days listed
Active supply
11
Floor $649 · avg ask $900
Used range
$655-708
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$694-722
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.