MacProbe Value

16" M2 Max 32GB/1TB (2023)

Fair value $1,631 · great deal under $1,480

Best deal right now Great Deal
$1,385 $246 under fair value
used · seller 99.4% of 29,509 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (92%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$1,700
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen 1h ago (). Above market range — this offer is not a recommended buying price. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$2,300
Best Buy · seen 14d ago · may have moved
last checked 14d ago · researched 12 queries, read 12 pages
New on eBay
$3,000
julmoldo_0 · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$3,499
Typical sale
$1,631
Sells in
~11 days
Sold, 30d
19
Great Deal
$1,480
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$1,631
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$1,644
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$1,657
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M2 Max 32GB/1TB (2023)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $1,480

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M2 Max 32GB/1TB (2023) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$1,698 median expected asking price in 7 days · $1,606–1,768

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are trending down. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: medium.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 15 wk · latest n=21

$1.4k$1.7k$2.0k$2.3k$2.5k Jul 20Aug 10Aug 31Sep 21Oct 12Oct 26

Mostly eBay (100% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
19
Avg sold $1,631 · 11 days listed
Active supply
14
Floor $1,385 · avg ask $1,726
Used range
$1,480-1,644
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$1,631-1,657
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.