MacProbe Value

16" M3 Pro 18GB/512GB (2023)

Fair value $1,335 · great deal under $1,168

Best deal right now Fair Value
$1,220 $115 under fair value
used · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 13 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Fair value
$1,335
No recent eligible returns-backed offer is available in our data. This is the fair-value midpoint, not an observed offer.
New, street
None found
checked 13d ago
Apple list
$2,499
Typical sale
$1,335
Sells in
~14 days
Sold, 30d
40
Great Deal
$1,168
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$1,335
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$1,409
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$1,483
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M3 Pro 18GB/512GB (2023)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $1,168

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M3 Pro 18GB/512GB (2023) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$1,338 median expected asking price in 7 days · $1,257–1,362

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are trending down. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: medium.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 13 wk · latest n=39

$1.2k$1.4k$1.5k$1.6k$1.7k Jul 27Aug 17Aug 31Sep 14Sep 28Oct 12Oct 26

Mostly eBay (100% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
40
Avg sold $1,335 · 14 days listed
Active supply
14
Floor $1,220 · avg ask $1,469
Used range
$1,168-1,409
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$1,335-1,483
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.