MacProbe Value

16" M4 Pro 24GB/512GB (2024)

Fair value $1,859 · great deal under $1,700

Best deal right now Great Deal
$1,590 $269 under fair value
used · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$1,610
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
Not checked yet
New on eBay
$2,149
ipowerresale · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$2,499
Typical sale
$1,859
Sells in
~11 days
Sold, 30d
35
Great Deal
$1,700
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$1,859
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$1,951
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,042
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M4 Pro 24GB/512GB (2024)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $1,700

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M4 Pro 24GB/512GB (2024) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$1,796 median expected asking price in 7 days · $1,722–1,880

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 31 wk · latest n=33

$1.4k$1.6k$1.8k$2.1k$2.3k Mar 30May 11Jun 22Aug 3Sep 14Oct 26

Mostly eBay (97% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
35
Avg sold $1,859 · 11 days listed
Active supply
25
Floor $1,590 · avg ask $1,890
Used range
$1,700-1,951
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$1,859-2,042
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.