MacProbe Value

16" M4 Pro 48GB/1TB (2024)

Fair value $2,411 · great deal under $2,345

Best deal right now Great Deal
$2,335 $76 under fair value
used · seller 100% of 95 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 1h ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (87%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$2,470
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen 1h ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,099
Adorama · seen 18d ago · may have moved
last checked 18d ago · researched 14 queries, read 6 pages
Apple list
$3,199
Typical sale
$2,411
Sells in
~8 days
Sold, 30d
16
Great Deal
$2,345
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$2,411
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$2,493
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,574
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M4 Pro 48GB/1TB (2024)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $2,345

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M4 Pro 48GB/1TB (2024) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$2,340 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,243–2,449

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: medium.

Market evidence

30-day sold
16
Avg sold $2,411 · 8 days listed
Active supply
3
Floor $2,335 · avg ask $2,505
Used range
$2,345-2,493
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$2,411-2,574
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.