MacProbe Value

16" M4 Max 48GB/1TB (2024)

Fair value $2,738 · great deal under $2,556

Best deal right now Fair Value
$2,730 at fair value
refurbished · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (85%)Liquidity: liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$2,730
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,399
Best Buy · seen 15d ago · may have moved
last checked 15d ago · researched 13 queries, read 12 pages
New on eBay
$3,199
mytech_60 · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$3,999
Typical sale
$2,738
Sells in
~18 days
Sold, 30d
7
Great Deal
$2,556
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$2,738
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$2,828
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,918
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M4 Max 48GB/1TB (2024)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $2,556

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M4 Max 48GB/1TB (2024) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$2,924 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,803–3,060

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 13 wk · latest n=12

$2.7k$3.0k$3.4k$3.7k$4.0k Jul 27Aug 17Aug 31Sep 14Sep 28Oct 12Oct 26

Mostly eBay (97% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
7
Avg sold $2,738 · 18 days listed
Active supply
10
Floor $2,730 · avg ask $3,244
Used range
$2,556-2,828
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$2,738-2,918
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.