MacProbe Value

16" M4 Pro 48GB/512GB (2024)

Fair value $2,066 · great deal under $1,890

Lowest live price Premium
$2,100 $34 over fair value
used · seller 99.7% of 2,203 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 13 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (95%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$2,200
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$2,599
Best Buy · seen 18d ago · may have moved
last checked 18d ago · researched 4 queries, read 2 pages
New on eBay
$2,330
mala.empire · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$2,999
Typical sale
$2,066
Sells in
~17 days
Sold, 30d
25
Great Deal
$1,890
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$2,066
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$2,140
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,213
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M4 Pro 48GB/512GB (2024)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $1,890

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M4 Pro 48GB/512GB (2024) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$2,230 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,138–2,334

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 13 wk · latest n=12

$1.9k$2.2k$2.4k$2.7k$3.0k Jul 27Aug 17Aug 31Sep 14Sep 28Oct 12Oct 26

Mostly eBay (95% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
25
Avg sold $2,066 · 17 days listed
Active supply
7
Floor $2,100 · avg ask $2,250
Used range
$1,890-2,140
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$2,066-2,213
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.