MacProbe Value

16" M4 Max 36GB/1TB (2024)

Fair value $2,604 · great deal under $2,449

Best deal right now Great Deal
$2,220 $384 under fair value
used · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 12 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (92%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$2,600
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$2,999
Best Buy · seen 18d ago · may have moved
last checked 18d ago · researched 14 queries, read 11 pages
New on eBay
$4,067
yannianseur · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$3,499
Typical sale
$2,604
Sells in
~16 days
Sold, 30d
18
Great Deal
$2,449
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$2,604
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$2,604
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,604
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M4 Max 36GB/1TB (2024)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $2,449

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M4 Max 36GB/1TB (2024) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$2,590 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,590–2,741

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Weekly market history

Weekly median of distinct used listings (asks). Not confirmed sales. 31 wk · latest n=13

$1.8k$2.2k$2.7k$3.1k$3.5k Mar 30May 11Jun 22Aug 3Sep 14Oct 26

Mostly eBay (99% of weekly item contributions). P25–P75 band is the weekly item distribution. Missing weeks are omitted, not filled in. Forecasts are not shown.

Market evidence

30-day sold
18
Avg sold $2,604 · 16 days listed
Active supply
9
Floor $2,220 · avg ask $2,628
Used range
$2,449-2,604
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$2,604-2,604
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.