MacProbe Value

16" M3 Pro 36GB/1TB (2023)

Fair value $1,864 · great deal under $1,750

Best deal right now Great Deal
$1,470 $394 under fair value
used · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 12 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (85%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$1,700
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
None found
checked 13d ago
Apple list
$3,099
Typical sale
$1,864
Sells in
~9 days
Sold, 30d
8
Great Deal
$1,750
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$1,864
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$1,911
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$1,957
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M3 Pro 36GB/1TB (2023)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $1,750

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M3 Pro 36GB/1TB (2023) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$1,724 median expected asking price in 7 days · $1,488–1,848

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are trending down. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: high.

Market evidence

30-day sold
8
Avg sold $1,864 · 9 days listed
Active supply
10
Floor $1,470 · avg ask $1,873
Used range
$1,750-1,911
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$1,864-1,957
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.