MacProbe Value

16" M3 Max 36GB/1TB (2023)

Fair value $2,205 · great deal under $2,000

Best deal right now Great Deal
$1,699 $506 under fair value
used · seller 99.5% of 604 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 13 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$1,952
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,399
Best Buy · seen 13d ago
last checked 13d ago · researched 17 queries, read 10 pages
Apple list
$3,499
Typical sale
$2,205
Sells in
~20 days
Sold, 30d
23
Great Deal
$2,000
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$2,205
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$2,215
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$2,225
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M3 Max 36GB/1TB (2023)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $2,000

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M3 Max 36GB/1TB (2023) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$2,134 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,073–2,181

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Market evidence

30-day sold
23
Avg sold $2,205 · 20 days listed
Active supply
17
Floor $1,699 · avg ask $2,169
Used range
$2,000-2,215
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$2,205-2,225
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.