MacProbe Value

16" M5 Max 128GB/2TB (2025)

Fair value $6,167 · great deal under $5,949

Best deal right now Great Deal
$5,900 $267 under fair value
used · seller 100% of 1,636 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (87%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Fair value
$6,167
No recent eligible returns-backed offer is available in our data. This is the fair-value midpoint, not an observed offer.
New, street
$6,999
B&H Photo · seen 13d ago
last checked 13d ago · researched 19 queries, read 12 pages
New on eBay
$6,790
techsurpamericas · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$6,999
Typical sale
$6,167
Sells in
~16 days
Sold, 30d
18
Great Deal
$5,949
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$6,167
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$6,269
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$6,370
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M5 Max 128GB/2TB (2025)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $5,949

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M5 Max 128GB/2TB (2025) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$6,249 median expected asking price in 7 days · $5,991–6,541

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Market evidence

30-day sold
18
Avg sold $6,167 · 16 days listed
Active supply
4
Floor $5,900 · avg ask $6,432
Used range
$5,949-6,269
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$6,167-6,370
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.