MacProbe Value

16" M5 Pro 48GB/1TB (2025)

Fair value $3,015 · great deal under $2,850

Best deal right now Great Deal
$2,790 $225 under fair value
refurbished · seller 99.9% of 12,325 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 12 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$2,790
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,200
Micro Center · seen today
last checked today · researched 6 queries, read 4 pages
New on eBay
$2,815
icylongdog · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$3,599
Typical sale
$3,015
Sells in
~12 days
Sold, 30d
34
Great Deal
$2,850
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$3,015
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$3,106
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$3,197
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M5 Pro 48GB/1TB (2025)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $2,850

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M5 Pro 48GB/1TB (2025) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$3,029 median expected asking price in 7 days · $2,905–3,171

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: medium.

Market evidence

30-day sold
34
Avg sold $3,015 · 12 days listed
Active supply
9
Floor $2,790 · avg ask $3,013
Used range
$2,850-3,106
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$3,015-3,197
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.