MacProbe Value

16" M5 Max 48GB/2TB (2025)

Fair value $3,848 · great deal under $3,605

Best deal right now Fair Value
$3,799 $49 under fair value
used · seller 99.5% of 604 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 11 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$4,249
Apple Certified Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Above market range — this offer is not a recommended buying price. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,900
Micro Center · seen today
last checked today · researched 12 queries, read 5 pages
New on eBay
$4,000
daech-0 · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$4,999
Typical sale
$3,848
Sells in
~11 days
Sold, 30d
26
Great Deal
$3,605
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$3,848
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$3,919
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$3,990
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M5 Max 48GB/2TB (2025)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $3,605

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M5 Max 48GB/2TB (2025) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$4,074 median expected asking price in 7 days · $3,906–4,264

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Market evidence

30-day sold
26
Avg sold $3,848 · 11 days listed
Active supply
9
Floor $3,799 · avg ask $4,077
Used range
$3,605-3,919
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$3,848-3,990
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.