MacProbe Value

16" M5 Max 36GB/2TB (2025)

Fair value $3,669 · great deal under $3,275

Best deal right now Fair Value
$3,300 $369 under fair value
refurbished · seller 99.6% of 187,780 ratings · eBay Money Back Guarantee · seen 13 min ago
View on eBay →

Market value, observed returns-backed offers, and whether prices are likely to change.

Confidence: high (100%)Liquidity: very liquid
Representative 16-inch MacBook Pro stock render

Representative stock render — not the listing unit. 3D model MacBook Pro M3 16″ by jackbaeten · CC BY 4.0 · modified by MacProbe (materials, lighting, crop)

Cheapest returns-backed unit observed
$3,300
eBay Refurbished · check availability · last seen less than an hour ago (). Compare this protected option before paying more for a used unit. Availability may have changed.
New, street
$3,799
Best Buy · seen 17d ago · may have moved
last checked 17d ago · researched 14 queries, read 5 pages
New on eBay
$3,770
gadgetpickup · marketplace, not a retailer
Apple list
$4,399
Typical sale
$3,669
Sells in
~14 days
Sold, 30d
21
Great Deal
$3,275
Act quickly below this level.
Fair Value
$3,669
MacProbe's current midpoint.
Upper used range
$3,874
Market range, not a purchase recommendation.
Overpriced
$4,079
Usually wait or negotiate.

Live deals for 16" M5 Max 36GB/2TB (2025)

Real listings from eBay, Apple Refurb, and Best Buy, judged against the fair-value band above. Listings whose title names a fault are left out.

See all live deals → How is the fair value calculated?

Get an email when one lists under $3,275

We check eBay, Apple Refurb and Best Buy every 15 minutes. When a 16" M5 Max 36GB/2TB (2025) lists at or below the Great Deal price, we send you one email. Then the alert ends. Nothing else is sent.

Will it get cheaper?

$3,728 median expected asking price in 7 days · $3,574–3,902

This is an asking price, so it usually sits above the fair value below, which is what machines actually sell for. Compare it with the listings you see.

Asking prices are holding steady. The band is a P25–P75 range, so it should contain the outcome about half the time — we have hit 55% across 406 graded forecasts. Confidence: low.

Market evidence

30-day sold
21
Avg sold $3,669 · 14 days listed
Active supply
13
Floor $2,025 · avg ask $3,722
Used range
$3,275-3,874
Typical target range for clean used listings.
Refurb range
$3,669-4,079
Expected premium for safer refurb sellers.

Related market pages

MacBook Pro Market Index · M3 vs M4 vs M5 comparison

Last updated: 2026-10-27 08:02 UTC · Informational only. Always verify listing condition and seller reliability before purchasing.